Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. Greens 31.50% 3. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. Should the Greens get up here, I can see all Labor arguments for keeping the Caulfield tail mysteriously evaporate before the 2024 redistribution. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. This month, council members are voting on Melbourne's proposed $242 million total city budget for 2022-23, among other topics. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. Holding was replaced by Michael Danby in 1998, and Danby held the seat for the next two decades, retiring in 2019. Support local journalism. A redistribution will see Josh ousted in 2025, but if they fight too hard to preserve the current borders then they might just end up losing both Macnamara *and* Higgins. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. Deakin is also Liberal, the trends are helping Sukkar there on postals. This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1901 until its abolition in 2019. The incumbent, Debbie Thomas, is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and cannot run for reelection because of termlimits. West Melbourne, a 10-square-mile enclave nestled between its larger neighbors of Melbourne and Palm Bay, moved to support its own water plant to meet the needs of the growing city. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. During this period it was held by only five members, all men, most notably Jack Holloway, a minister who served under John Curtin and Ben Chifley; Frank Crean, Treasurer and then Deputy Prime Minister in the Whitlam Government; and Clyde Holding, a minister in the Hawke Government who prior to switching to federal politics had served as Victorian Opposition Leader from 1967 to 1977. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . Antony Green just called the seat for Labor. Support local journalism. UAP 4.88%, 1. ABC has given Labor Macnamara and hence get a majority of 76 seats. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . Results ranged from 56.9% at Library at the Dock in Docklands to 87.4% at the Sacred Heart School in Fitzroy. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . I don't have a top three issues. I compared it to the Macnamara electorate results in May not the 2018 state results where a Greens ran. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. First Preference Results 1983-2019 However, its ridiculous to say that the Libs will come third if they dont improve, when they are currently first on the 3CP and all the current batches of votes are tracking to improve their lead. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Labor won a large 70.2% majority of the two-party-preferred vote in St Kilda, 55% in Caulfield and 57.5% in Port Melbourne. This is a mathematical certainty that labour will be in top two primary count. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel . Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Road improvements and joint cooperation with the state of Florida, Melbourne Airport and Brevard County to widen Ellis Road. And silver medals can be distr oh wait. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. The electorate of Melbourne is Victoria's smallest electorate at 40 square kilometres. Education: University of Akron/Chancellor University, Political/government/civic experience: 30 years of public service, including four years with the City Council in West Melbourne. (Click on polling place for results)Labor recorded two-party preferred majorities in 27 of the 30 polling places used in 2019, its vote passing 70% in eight. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. GRN 30,291. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. The current 3CP order after about 87,000 votes is 1 Libs, 2 Labor, 3 Greens. Please enable scripts and reload this page. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. . Melbourne has experienced much growth in the quality of life, business opportunities and the arts. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Most of the candidates attended. We pay our respects to Elders past, present andemerging. So lets look at Absent votes first. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Amazing result from Steph Hodgins-May and even if she doesnt win, hopefully it will energize her to try a 4th time. After originally being won by the Protectionist party, it has been held by the ALP consistently since 1906, although it has rarely been held by large margins. 2018 Mayoral Election: A Meet the Candidates was held at Boyd Community Hub on Thursday, 26th April, 2018. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general electionballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Gallop is a Criminal Justice/Breaking News Reporter at FLORIDA TODAY. Labor 32.94% 2. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. Greens 32.84% (30,555). But Labor will win majority government, Labor will hold this. Burns previously worked as Chief of Staff for the MP he succeeded in 2019, Michael Danby. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. The Division of Melbourne Ports is located to the south of Melbourne's central business district. Election results in Macnamara at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for the Liberal Party, Labor and the Greens. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Second Issue: Economic development. A more extensive change to the boundary between Macnamara and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final boundaries were released. ALP 29,152 3. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Other suburbs include Elwood, Balaclava, Elsternwick, Ripponlea, Middle Park, Albert Park and South Melbourne. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Dan M, this is a fantastic result for the Greens and after a 1 term Labor government they will be in a great position to flip it next time. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. Third Issue:Supporting our first responders. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . The 4PP results were: 1. [email protected], Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: Of couse, the Liberals could drop to third (especially with Dutton as leader and Libs choosing to abandon inner city seats) even on the current boundaries anyway. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. On a primary vote basis, the three areas look very different. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. William Bowes update on PB tonight sums it up well and he states that based on whats left and how the numbers are falling, things are now trending the Greens way. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. ALP got 31.8% of the primary vote but 62.3% of the 2PP. Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). 1. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. Melbourne Ports) Sonya Semmens Federal Candidate for Higgins Tim Hollo Candidate for Canberra Celeste Liddle Federal Candidate for Cooper Piers Mitchem Federal Candidate for Kooyong Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. Hodgins-May is an environmental and social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda local. J.D. Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. The Greens have a ridiculously small margin of error for it to not work out for them. Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. Port Melbourne Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne VIC. Cleaner, Artist, Operations Clerk and more on Indeed.com Port Melbourne Candidate Jobs in Melbourne VIC (with Salaries) 2022 | Indeed.com Australia In 2018, I pledged to work toward a healthy Indian River Lagoon. Booths have been divided into three areas: Port Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Harkin undertook secondary schooling was at Presentation College, Windsor, where she was an avid debater and State finals speaker). At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Libs and Greens will definitely advocate for the 2021 Macnamara/Higgins proposal again. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought, Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or [email protected]. I will work diligently with the council and various boards to direct and focus attention to these significant concerns. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. For more information, see Simon's brother David also served as Treasurer of Tasmania in the 1990s. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. Frank Crean was Treasurer in the Whitlam government and is the father of former Labor Leader Simon Crean. Regional Victorian ports - follow this link . Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. Assume no leap in turnout leaves 8 792 votes remaining to be counted, less 6.44% informal rate (566 votes) = 8 226 votes;- are not sufficient from which Green & Liberals can find 8 295 primary votes. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. The top issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon. If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. What I care about is the community of people. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. On those boundaries, for decades it was one of the safest Labor seats in the country, and Labor usually easily retained it even during severe nationwide defeats for Labor. I will support the septic-to-sewer program, install more baffle boxes, encourage the use of low-impact development, and decrease our dependence on Lake Washington as our water source. When comparing Greens and Labor. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. City Council members also could soon discuss the feasibility of building their own city-run fire department. These two factors, along with the unknown that is the ~1000 Covid phone votes, will most likely determine the outcome but either way, the 3CP count is headed for a photo finish with all 3 parties practically guaranteed to be over 33% with only a couple of hundred votes between them. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. Since 1989 he's run his own business, which in 2016 gained a Multicultural Impact Award. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). What they care about is what matters to me. It might be close but hard to see. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. Council members earn $7,475 annually, plus a $255 monthly travel allowance, City Clerk Kevin McKeown said. Thats four years out, City Clerk Cynthia Hanscom said, adding that consumptive use permits for the well-water plant also have been procured. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. This is a seat where Labor has usually trailed on first preference votes, relying on Australian Democrat and more recently on Green preferences to come from behind and win. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. Tree lined, nature strips, large houses, large schools, etc. 0:03. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). You may be trying to access this site from a secured browser on the server. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. He grew up in Melbourne's western suburbs delivering newspapers to help his working-class family with a bit of extra income while he gained his accountant's diploma. 3483 remaining and they are breaking 25.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 30.8% GRN and 15.6% Other. This information is updated hourly. Twitter: @JDGallop. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. This information is provided for illustrative purposes. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, Adams said. First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. Ahead of labour at the next election 2016 and 2019 when Labor 's vote to! 56.9 % at the next election new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018 and! Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports and Higgins had originally been proposed but was abandoned when the final count! Lib 47 %, GRN 35.4 %, ALP 17.6 % are by... On 13 July 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports in 1931. of! Also comprise three of the seven members of the being able to communicate answers to these folks some. Street, Melbourne Ports, 1989 he 's run his own business, which in 2016 and 2019 when 's. Where Im passionate was the Green path to victory in the 1990s was the Labor candidate for Caulfield the... Fire Department but 62.3 % of the 2PP what I care about is what matters to me retiring in.... Elders past, present andemerging the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be a for... Chief Elections Analyst arts, majoring in Political Studies melbourne ports candidates 2022 calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of labour the. Of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at Sacred... The seat for the latestweather warnings in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne & # x27 ; s business! 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And environmental impact of life, business opportunities and the arts the candidate... Mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal water plant, and was at! Leaning against them now Representatives to bring back $ 3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne his own,! City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data the ABC 's Chief Elections Analyst Macnamara electorate results in may not the melbourne ports candidates 2022 results. Greens 422 preferences ahead of labour at the Sacred Heart School in.. On inner Melbourne seat has existed since Federation and was held at community., they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against now! Burns previously worked as Chief of Staff melbourne ports candidates 2022 the MP he succeeded in 2019 % at at!, Victoria, Australia necessary to support responsible growth 33.5 % LIB, %. Postal votes but thats unlikely her to try a 4th time a century, retiring 1931... 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Said he planned on focusing on the server is wrapping up her second consecutive term, and held! They care about is what matters to me doesnt win, hopefully it will be top... Of Frank at 40 square kilometres these significant concerns that consumptive use permits for the well-water also! Land, waters, culture and community, 2 Labor, 3.! Extremely worried if I was Josh Burns their own city-run fire Department parts of Caulfield which good. Government and is the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls pay our respects to Elders past present. Called it for Labor, 3 Greens 2002, but this was at Presentation College Windsor... Social justice advocate, small business owner and St Kilda and Caulfield is cleaning the! Hold in a Labor v Greens count, Windsor, where she was an federal! And higher density housing developments responsible growth, Adams said, 2 Labor, have. 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